Mid-Season Ramblings.
It's the closest race for the First Division title I've ever seen* with just 5 points seperating the top 8 with my own Inverness, in 9th place, just 8 points off the top spot. I wonder where I could be if it wasn't for the Cecil Cup run.
Taking each team in current league order:
Aberdeen - Ross has performed miracles with this side but after mid season ageing they are 15th for total and T17 SL, 14th= for avarage SL and 14th for T11. Even if you add all their unused CP and TP and assume they convert PP to CP they won't get much better. Having said that they were very low before MSA. I still expect them to finish up in mid-table with their 2nd keeper being their weak point. Decent attack though. Prediction 9th.
Saint Johnstone - One excellent keeper, one excellent defender and a murderous attack; Yoav's team will keep scoring goals but will defence let them down. Low on total and T17 SL but middle T11. DP may well hurt them as well. 8th place.
Dundee FC - Two good keepers, good all round defence and an excellent attack. After mixed results early on Willy seems to have got his tactics right. Top of avarage SL as well as T17 and just 2nd in T11 and even though they have little CP and TP left they will still be 2nd here after everyone has spent theirs. I fancy these to win it, especially if they get lucky with DP.
Rangers - Can beat anyone on their day with four SL 30+ players but only one keeper. Will always be there or thereabouts. 3rd.
Dunfermline Athletic - Similar strength to Rangers but more CP and TP to spend and two good keepers. Going through a bad patch with only 3 points from 6 games but I expect them to bounce back for maybe 2nd place.
Dundee United - Only an average T11 and T17 and only a couple of decent forwards and average keepers. Will stay about 6th place.
Celtic - Avarage in most areas, two decent keepers. Another one that will be 6th place, give or take. Predict 7th.
Hibernian - 3rd in all SL tables, powerful attack but only one good keeper. Will move up the table. 5th (or maybe 4th)
Inverness - Under performed due to concentrating on the Cecil Cup and then traded away two high SL forwrds for rebuilding purposes. Smallest squad in the division which may hurt. 2nd in average SL and when all CP and TP used will be top, currently 5th in T11 and T17. One of the best goalkeeping combinations in the division, good defence and decent attack. On a decent unbeaten run in the league, a lot will depend on whether I go for the SESL Cup or try for a better league position. If the latter I think I can get 3rd or 4th especially with a low DP. Hopefully 4th
Saint Mirren - weak second keeper, poor defence - will be fighting off relegation. 14th.
Motherwell - Stronger than SM and should at least overtake them. 10th
Kilmarnock - Similar strength team to Motherwell. 11th.
Stirling - See above. It's going to be close between these four teams. 13th.
Ross County - Higher SL than their position suggests. I think these will make it. 12th.
Raith Rovers - Only Livingston are weaker overall but James has two aveage keepers and three decent forwrds. Must choose teams carefully to try and beat other relegation candidates if he's to avoid the drop. 15th.
Livingston - Doomed to last place I'm afraid.
*based on the equivalent of one season + 1 week in SESL